Sea Limited: An Update On SE Using Alternative Data (NYSE:SE)

Funding Thesis

On this article, I aimed to make use of various information to trace the progress of each Shopee and Garena. In accordance with Google Pattern and SensorTower, Shopee continues to guide Southeast Asia (“SEA”) as it’s ranked because the no.1 procuring app throughout the area. In Brazil, it’s ranked 2nd, surpassing Mercado Libre. For Garena, Free Fireplace’s month-to-month energetic customers are stabilizing, and its new sport releases might be tracked by way of information.ai, with Primitive Period being the latest launch. This means that the administration is engaged on growing their very own video games, together with Phoenix Lab. The corporate’s total hiring has slowed down quickly with October 2022 being the bottom when it comes to job openings. This goes to point out that administration is engaged on accelerating the path to profitability.

And when you’ve got not already recognized, I’ve additionally just lately revealed a deep dive into why I feel Sea Restricted’s (NYSE:SE) long-term fundamentals are intact and why its valuation could also be engaging for buyers in the long run.

Shopee

Google Traits

Google Pattern reveals that Shopee continues to guide its rivals primarily Tokopedia (IDX: GOTO), Lazada (BABA), and Bukalapak (IDX: BUKA) by a mile. Though, we did see that there was a slight deceleration on the finish.

Rankings

Shopee has persistently ranked because the quantity 2 procuring app in Brazil, surpassing MercadoLibre (MELI), though SheIn continues to guide the pack. This reveals that Shopee’s mobile-first method is working, and they’re gaining momentum within the area. Ideally within the upcoming 3Q22 earnings name, we wish to see its adjusted loss per order lower at a sooner fee. In 2Q22, its loss per order has solely improved by a mere 7% Q/Q in comparison with 24% Q/Q in 1Q22.

In Indonesia, which is Shopee’s largest market in Southeast Asia (“SEA”) continues to rank 1st, surpassing its closest competitor, Lazada. This is similar for the remainder of the markets within the area, which is in step with the Google Pattern that was proven earlier on.

Shopee is at the moment ranked 2nd in Poland, with Biedronka main. Biedronka is one among Poland’s largest low cost retail chains designed to offer shoppers with low-priced items. As Shopee Poland’s rankings are inclined to fluctuate, and it stays one of many 2 markets that the administration has not exited from, I can’t be too shocked in the event that they determined to exit the area.

Garena

Recap and Updates

Here’s a recap of what I lined in my earlier article – (1) Phoenix Labs has a pipeline of video games, and one among its video games, Fae Farm, is about to be launched in Spring 2023 (23 March to 23 June), and (2) Garena invested in Vic Sport Studio.

By Knowledge.ai, we are able to monitor new video games launched by Garena, with its most up-to-date sport being the Primitive Period. Here’s a gameplay of Primitive Period, and based mostly on Google Play Retailer, it has over 500,000 downloads in the present day. Maybe buyers occupied with monitoring Garena’s new video games can use Knowledge.ai. Whereas this doesn’t assure Garena’s success in reaccelerating its progress charges, it does present that the administration has been engaged on self-developing their very own video games.

Free Fireplace’s Month-to-month Energetic Customers Is Stabilizing

In accordance with Activeplayer.io, Garena’s Free Fireplace month-to-month energetic customers (“MAU”) have stabilized within the final 3 months, which is in step with the administration commentary prior to now few earnings calls.

Job Openings Have Slowed Down Massively

The corporate’s job openings have decelerated massively over the previous few months, with Oct 2022 coming in on the lowest. That is so after the current layoffs and determination to exit a number of Latin American markets. This tells us that administration is severe about hitting profitability with hiring tuning down so shortly.

Conclusion

Utilizing various information, we are able to see that Shopee continues to keep up its market management in SEA as evidenced by the Google Pattern and app rankings on SensorTower. In Brazil, Shopee continues to surpass Mercado Libre because the quantity 2 procuring app, simply behind SheIn. Ideally within the subsequent couple of quarters, we wish to see the loss per order improved at a sooner fee in Brazil. Whereas for Garena, we are able to see that Free Fireplace’s MAU has been stabilizing for the previous few months. Primarily based on Knowledge.ai, we are able to monitor the brand new sport releases, with Primitive Period being the latest launch. The corporate’s hiring has additionally slowed down actually shortly prior to now few months, indicating that they’re taking steps towards hitting profitability.

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